Bull Run near Manassas Park
Flood levels
Official flood levels at this gauge: action stage begins at 11.0 ft; minor flooding begins at 12.0 ft; moderate flooding begins at 20.0 ft.
| Action stage | 11.0 ft |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | 12.0 ft |
| Moderate flooding | 20.0 ft |
Highest recorded crests
- 20.2 ft on Jul 22, 2018 (historic crest)
- 16.7 ft on Mar 22, 2019 (historic crest)
- 16.5 ft on Jan 10, 2024 (historic crest)
- 15.6 ft on Dec 16, 2018 (historic crest)
What the water does
National Weather Service impact statements for this gauge, in the Weather Service's own words.
| 12.0 ft | Water covers backyards in the Yorkshire area and some items may need to be relocated to higher ground. Portions of the trail system along Bull Run in the vicinity of Yorkshire are also flooded. |
|---|---|
| 15.0 ft | Backyards are flooded along Lake Drive in Manassas, along with much of the Bull Run trail system. |
| 20.0 ft | Lake Drive is flooded near Manassas in multiple locations. Two homes in the area begin to flood from overland flow. Significant flooding is occurring on trails and in backyards in the area along Bull Run. |
Forecast office: NWS Sterling · River Forecast Center: Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.
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Nearby stations and gauges
- Cub Run near Centreville NWS gauge · 1.5 mi
- Flat Branch at Ben Lomond Park NWS gauge · 1.6 mi
- Flat Branch near Unnamed Tributary At Amherst Drive NWS gauge · 1.7 mi
- Buckhall Branch at Signal Hill Road NWS gauge · 4.1 mi
- Youngs Branch at Manassas Battlefield NWS gauge · 4.3 mi
- Flatlick Branch at Chantilly NWS gauge · 5.6 mi